A Clean Risk–Reward Window in Crypto

Morning.
Spotting a clean opportunity in BTC and crypto — clear technical structure, tight stop, and asymmetrical upside.

I hesitated to write about it earlier because the larger BTC halving pattern and the weakness below 200 sma, maybe signaling continuation lower.
But then I realized: it doesn’t matter. The setup stands on its own. Risk/reward is strong either way.

The broadening range where volume levels support and where anchorew vwap from August 4th, 2024 lows sits just below where we traded Sunday morning.
It’s possible we dip under that level when the broader market opens to grab liquidity — either way, this is my buy zone.

BTC weekly chart

The pink lines mark volume candle closes; the widened range or megaphone pattern (light blue descending line) is my main structural focus.
Both the anchored VWAP and the expanded range depend on precise anchoring — easy to draw wrong, but powerful when right.

Execution

Approach A:
Long BTC with leveraged certificates or futures via normal brokerage — easy entry/exit, but no control while the market is closed.

Approach B:
Build a small crypto bucket — several names available on brokers like Avanza and Nordnet, small allocation in each.
Harder to exit multiple positions fast if we dip again to sweep liquidity, but higher upside if this was the bottom.

Both can be combined.

I’m not following individual coins closely anymore, but that’s the point — if BTC works, the rest will follow.

Plan

I bought BTC overnight and again this morning once it opened via regular brokerage.
If price revisits the Sunday low or dips intraday (10–16 CET), I’ll exit and reload.
Later: add a crypto basket on the first pullback to the 5 SMA after BTC shows follow-through strength.

Most trades via regular brokerage. Worth checking instrument trading hours for the mini futures and etf:s — longer access can be useful if liquidity sweeps extend.

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